Sunday, October 24, 2004

I never thought I'd see the day....

The last two polls in Hawaii show Bush up by a point! I tentatively agree with the folks at Tradesports and give Bush a 10% percent chance of carrying the state, though that feels like an awfully high probability. On the other hand, the prospect of prolonging election-night parties until after the Hawaiian exit polls come in is fiendishly delightful to me.

2 Comments:

Blogger Brian said...

According to somone on Daily Kos, the second poll was just of Oahu.

10/25/2004 12:06 AM  
Blogger Dave Milovich said...

From Slate's Election Scorecard: "Democratic readers are telling us to blow off the Star-Bulletin survey because it covered only Oahu. What? Oahu has 70 percent of the statewide electorate, and it voted for Gore by 15 points. Honolulu, we have a problem. We're keeping the state light blue until Bush gets closer to 50 or somebody shows Kerry leading."

10/27/2004 4:13 PM  

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