Just now checking Tradesports, I expect Alito to be confirmed with over 80% probability. I'm generally happy about this. As noted by Randy Barnett and David Bernstein, we're probably no closer to a consistently originalist majority on the Supreme Court, in the sense that Thomas probably is and will be the only sitting justice who would vote to overturn New Deal precedents. However, I doubt another Thomas could get confirmed by the current Senate except by stealth, an option I think unacceptably risky.